B · Demand & GTM channelsExternally proven

The 95:5 Rule

A finding by the Ehrenberg-Bass Institute (John Dawes): only about 5 percent of a B2B market is in-market at any given time. Marketing aimed only at those 5 percent competes with everyone for the same small pool, the other 95 percent need mental availability for the day they enter the market.

When you need this method

Your budget flows almost entirely into channels that pick off in-market prospects, paid search, retargeting, comparison sites. Cost per deal climbs because every competitor bids for the same 5 percent, while the 95 percent of future buyers do not have you on their shortlist when their buying trigger arrives.

Approach

  1. 1Split the marketing budget by audience: addressing the in-market 5 percent (capture) versus building the brand with the 95 percent out-of-market.
  2. 2Invest in mental availability for the 95 percent: recognizable messages, consistent presence in the audience's channels.
  3. 3Define the buying situations in which the brand should come to mind, and tie messages to them.
  4. 4Set expectations on the time horizon: brand effect on out-of-market buyers only shows at their next buying trigger.
  5. 5Keep capture channels running, but stop treating them as the sole growth engine.

Typical application

A typical case: a B2B SaaS in the finance space raises its paid search budget three times in a row, but the extra deals fail to appear, the in-market pool is simply exhausted. The team starts publishing systematically for the 95 percent: expert pieces and recognizable theses in the audience's channels. Over the following quarters, new prospects increasingly report having had the company "on the radar for a while" when their buying trigger arrived.

Limits and counter-indications

The rule is an average across markets; the actual in-market share varies by category and buying cycle. Brand building with the 95 percent works with a long delay and is hard to attribute short-term, which demands patience in budget discussions. For companies in acute pipeline distress, reallocation alone is no solution.

How to measure impact

Suitable observations: the share of new customers who already knew the brand before their buying trigger (self-reported), plus the trend in cost per deal in capture channels.

Related methods

Sources

  1. 1.Advertising effectiveness and the 95-5 rule: most B2B buyers are not in the market right now, John Dawes (opens in a new tab) · Ehrenberg-Bass Institute for Marketing Science, University of South Australia · 2021 · academic and scholarly literatureOriginalarbeit von John Dawes; belegt, dass zu einem gegebenen Zeitpunkt bis zu 95 Prozent der Geschäftskunden nicht im Markt sind und Werbung deshalb überwiegend über Gedächtnisverankerung für spätere Kaufanlässe wirkt.
  2. 2.The 5 Principles of Growth in B2B Marketing, Les Binet und Peter Field (opens in a new tab) · Institute of Practitioners in Advertising (IPA) · 2019 · investment, consulting or analyst firmBelegt die Folge aus der Regel: Kampagnen, die den Bekanntheitsgrad und damit die mentale Verfügbarkeit erhöhen, sind im B2B die wirksamsten, und das Budget muss zwischen Markenaufbau und Aktivierung geteilt werden.

Origin: Ehrenberg-Bass

Last reviewed: 2026-07-25 by Dr. Oliver Gausmann

Work through this method with an AI